Nus Board · MLB
Brewers at Dodgers Game 3: Two Southpaws, Play the Under
Wednesday, 8:00 PM ET · Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles · FS1 · NLCS Game 3 total 7.5 (O -106, U -114)
Game 1 finished 2-1. Game 2 exploded for 11 runs and chased Yoshinobu Yamamoto early. Game 3 gets the two best pitching lines of the series so far, and the total is begging for the under.
Blake Snell has been close to unhittable for two months: a 1.90 ERA on the season, a 1.13 ERA over his final eight regular-season starts, and one run in 18 innings at Dodger Stadium since returning from the injured list in early August. The Brewers managed zero hits in 20 at-bats against him this season.
Robert Gasser has quietly been one of the best young lefties in the National League down the stretch: a 2.50 ERA over his last 36 innings and four one-run innings against the Padres in his postseason debut. Milwaukee's staff has a 2.12 ERA over the last 10 games, and both bullpens are the strength of these teams in October.
The Dodgers are hitting .205 over their last 10 games, and the Brewers' Game 2 outburst came against the soft middle of the Dodgers' October rotation, not against Snell at home. In a must-win game with two dealing southpaws, runs come at a premium. Under 7.5.
Betting angle
Under 7.5 (-114). The board's play. Two dealing southpaws, cold Dodgers bats, and October bullpens on both sides.
Snell under 1.5 earned runs (-133). The anchor of the under: Milwaukee is 0-for-20 against him this season and he has allowed five earned runs since August.
Key Facts
- Series: Brewers lead 2-0 (Game 1 finished 2-1, Game 2 finished 7-4)
- Starters: Robert Gasser (LHP, MIL) vs Blake Snell (LHP, LAD)
- Line (DraftKings): total 7.5 (O -106, U -114); Dodgers -180, Brewers +148
- Snell vs Brewers: 0-for-20 in regular-season at-bats; 1.13 ERA over final 8 starts
- Gasser: 2.50 ERA over last 36 IP; 4 IP, 1 R in postseason debut vs Padres
- Watch: 8:00 PM ET on FS1
VIA SI, theScore, NBC Sports, DraftKings Sportsbook.